Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.020573 0.022141 0.023773 0.025598 0.027584 0.029681 0.032065
2025-12-21 0.017986 0.020245 0.022717 0.025628 0.028970 0.032696 0.037177
2025-12-28 0.016176 0.018818 0.021818 0.025490 0.029879 0.034979 0.041385
2026-01-04 0.014889 0.017787 0.021177 0.025459 0.030751 0.037115 0.045405
2026-01-11 0.013926 0.017017 0.020729 0.025545 0.031671 0.039264 0.049478
2026-01-18 0.013101 0.016330 0.020297 0.025568 0.032450 0.041212 0.053345
2026-01-25 0.012453 0.015805 0.020008 0.025718 0.033351 0.043316 0.057492
2026-02-01 0.011720 0.015115 0.019451 0.025457 0.033661 0.044614 0.060585
2026-02-08 0.011009 0.014405 0.018817 0.025038 0.033703 0.045515 0.063138
2026-02-15 0.010459 0.013876 0.018384 0.024853 0.034032 0.046799 0.066271
2026-02-22 0.009933 0.013347 0.017918 0.024583 0.034209 0.047853 0.069101
2026-03-01 0.009482 0.012896 0.017533 0.024397 0.034479 0.049030 0.072156
2026-03-08 0.009022 0.012426 0.017117 0.024173 0.034720 0.050239 0.075434
2026-03-15 0.008680 0.012108 0.016902 0.024231 0.035385 0.052119 0.079892
2026-03-22 0.008311 0.011731 0.016580 0.024105 0.035755 0.053558 0.083728
2026-03-29 0.007999 0.011419 0.016336 0.024077 0.036261 0.055222 0.088021
2026-04-05 0.007739 0.011172 0.016172 0.024158 0.036932 0.057169 0.092899
2026-04-12 0.007482 0.010917 0.015980 0.024180 0.037503 0.058973 0.097636
2026-04-19 0.007273 0.010722 0.015870 0.024321 0.038264 0.061123 0.103105
2026-04-26 0.006982 0.010390 0.015531 0.024076 0.038371 0.062172 0.106676
2026-05-03 0.006675 0.010019 0.015115 0.023682 0.038203 0.062733 0.109383
2026-05-10 0.006437 0.009746 0.014842 0.023508 0.038393 0.063914 0.113299
2026-05-17 0.006195 0.009458 0.014532 0.023256 0.038430 0.064821 0.116746